Forewarned, 9781785902222
Paperback
Whether it’s an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or an expected barbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. But do forecasters tell you all that they know or what they really believe?

Forewarned

A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction

$42.34

  • Paperback

    304 pages

  • Release Date

    30 September 2017

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Summary

Whether it’s an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or an expected barbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. But do forecasters tell you all that they know or what they really believe?

When is your gut feeling likely to be better than a computer’s prediction? Can you accurately predict your own emotional reaction to future events like a new job or a new house? And when is a ‘forecast’ not a forecast? Covering a wide range of topics, …

Book Details

ISBN-13:9781785902222
ISBN-10:1785902229
Author:Paul Goodwin
Publisher:Biteback Publishing
Imprint:Biteback Publishing
Format:Paperback
Number of Pages:304
Release Date:30 September 2017
Weight:326g
Dimensions:215mm x 135mm x 22mm
About The Author

Paul Goodwin

Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.

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