The Black Swan

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected * Guardian *Like the conversation of a raconteur … hugely enjoyable - compelling * Financial Times *It has altered modern thinking * The Times *Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot * Sunday Times *The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works – Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and SlowGreat fun… brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling – Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of FreakonomicsThe most prophetic voice of all * GQ *

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.